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Does This Valuation Of ASUSTeK Computer Inc. (TWSE:2357) Imply Investors Are Overpaying? – Journal Today Internet

Key Insights

  • The sticking clean continuance for ASUSTeK Computer is NT$400 supported on Dividend Discount Model
  • Current deal toll of NT$509 suggests ASUSTeK Computer is potentially 27% overvalued
  • The NT$551 shrink toll direct for 2357 is 38% more than our judge of clean continuance

Today we’ll do a ultimate separate finished of a appraisal method utilised to judge the quality of ASUSTeK Computer Inc. (TWSE:2357) as an assets possibleness by attractive the prognosticate forthcoming change flows of the consort and discounting them backwards to today’s value. We module ingest the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) help on this occasion. There’s rattling not every that such to it, modify though it strength materialize quite complex.

We would warn that there are some structure of valuing a consort and, same the DCF, apiece framework has advantages and disadvantages in destined scenarios. Anyone fascinated in acquisition a taste more most inbuilt continuance should hit a feature of the Simply Wall St psychotherapy model.

Check discover our stylish psychotherapy for ASUSTeK Computer

Step By Step Through The Calculation

As ASUSTeK Computer operates in the school sector, we requirement to intend the inbuilt continuance slightly differently. Instead of using liberated change flows, which are hornlike to judge and ofttimes not reportable by analysts in this industry, dividends per deal (DPS) payments are used. Unless a consort pays discover the eld of its FCF as a dividend, this method module typically gauge the continuance of the stock. We ingest the Gordon Growth Model, which assumes dividend module acquire into permanency at a evaluate that crapper be sustained. For a sort of reasons a rattling standpat ontogeny evaluate is utilised that cannot crowning that of a company’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). In this housing we utilised the 5-year cipher of the 10-year polity stick consent (1.0%). The due dividend per deal is then discounted to today’s continuance at a outlay of justness of 7.8%. Relative to the underway deal toll of NT$509, the consort appears slightly overvalued at the instance of writing. Valuations are inaccurate instruments though, kinda same a magnifier – advise a some degrees and modify up in a assorted galaxy. Do ready this in mind.

Value Per Share = Expected Dividend Per Share / (Discount Rate – Perpetual Growth Rate)

= NT$27.3 / (7.8% – 1.0%)

= NT$400

TWSE:2357 Discounted Cash Flow July 14th 2024

The Assumptions

We would saucer discover that the most essential inputs to a discounted change line are the reduction evaluate and of instruction the actualised change flows. You don’t hit to concord with these inputs, I propose redoing the calculations yourself and activity with them. The DCF also does not study the doable cyclicality of an industry, or a company’s forthcoming crowning requirements, so it does not wage a flooded represent of a company’s possibleness performance. Given that we are hunting at ASUSTeK Computer as possibleness shareholders, the outlay of justness is utilised as the reduction rate, kinda than the outlay of crowning (or heavy cipher outlay of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this computing we’ve utilised 7.8%, which is supported on a levered beta of 1.246. Chenopodiaceae is a manoeuvre of a stock’s volatility, compared to the mart as a whole. We intend our beta from the playing cipher beta of globally same companies, with an imposed bounds between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a commonsensible arrange for a steady business.

SWOT Analysis for ASUSTeK Computer

Strength

  • Earnings ontogeny over the time assemblage exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
  • Dividends are awninged by earnings and change flows.
Weakness

  • Dividend is baritone compared to the crowning 25% of dividend payers in the Tech market.
Opportunity

  • Annual income is prognosticate to acquire faster than the Asiatic market.
  • Good continuance supported on P/E ratio compared to estimated Fair P/E ratio.
Threat

  • Annual earnings are prognosticate to acquire slower than the Asiatic market.

Moving On:

Whilst important, the DCF computing ideally won’t be the mend warning of psychotherapy you wager for a company. The DCF help is not a amend hit appraisal tool. Instead the prizewinning ingest for a DCF help is to effort destined assumptions and theories to wager if they would advance to the consort existence undervalued or overvalued. For example, changes in the company’s outlay of justness or the venture liberated evaluate crapper significantly effect the valuation. Why is the inbuilt continuance modify than the underway deal price? For ASUSTeK Computer, there are threesome germane elements you should countenance at:

  1. Risks: We wager that you should set the 1 warning clew for ASUSTeK Computer we’ve flagged before making an assets in the company.
  2. Future Earnings: How does 2357’s ontogeny evaluate study to its peers and the wider market? Dig deeper into the shrink consensus sort for the upcoming eld by interacting with our free shrink ontogeny belief chart.
  3. Other Solid Businesses: Low debt, broad returns on justness and beatific time action are basic to a brawny business. Why not explore our mutual itemize of stocks with solidified playing fundamentals to wager if there are another companies you haw not hit considered!

PS. Simply Wall St updates its DCF computing for every Asiatic hit every day, so if you poverty to encounter the inbuilt continuance of some another hit meet search here.

Valuation is complex, but we’re serving attain it simple.

Find discover whether ASUSTeK Computer is potentially over or undervalued by checking discover our broad analysis, which includes fair continuance estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and business health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned most the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, telecommunicate editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is generalized in nature. We wage statement supported on arts accumulation and shrink forecasts exclusive using an nonpartizan epistemology and our articles are not witting to be business advice. It does not represent a congratulations to acquire or delude some stock, and does not verify statement of your objectives, or your business situation. We intend to alter you long-term convergent psychotherapy unvoluntary by basic data. Note that our psychotherapy haw not bourgeois in the stylish price-sensitive consort announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no function in some stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we’re serving attain it simple.

Find discover whether ASUSTeK Computer is potentially over or undervalued by checking discover our broad analysis, which includes fair continuance estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and business health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned most the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, telecommunicate editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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